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Friendlies Clubs · International
Oţelul vs FC Bacau prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Oţelul host FC Bacau in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Oţelul 1–1 FC Bacau.
Going into the match, Oţelul had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. FC Bacau had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Oţelul's last 10 and 5 of FC Bacau's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oţelul averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home FC Bacau averaged 1.44 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Oţelul and 2.09 from FC Bacau. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 52%, against 57%, 24% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Oţelul (green) and FC Bacau (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · Oţelul 3–1 FC Bacau
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.61 |
| Oţelul Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Oţelul HT & FT | 40% | 2.31 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.