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Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ostersunds FK host Varbergs BoIS FC in the Superettan (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ostersunds FK 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC.
Going into the match, Ostersunds FK had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Varbergs BoIS FC had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ostersunds FK's last 10 and 6 of Varbergs BoIS FC's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ostersunds FK averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Varbergs BoIS FC averaged 2.00 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Ostersunds FK and 1.07 from Varbergs BoIS FC. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 35%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ostersunds FK (green) and Varbergs BoIS FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostersunds FK | LDWDW | 0.80 | 0.60 | 40% | 10% |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | WWLDW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.