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Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ostersunds FK host United Nordic in the Superettan (Sweden) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ostersunds FK had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. United Nordic had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ostersunds FK's last 10 and 8 of United Nordic's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ostersunds FK averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home United Nordic averaged 1.14 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Ostersunds FK and 0.85 from United Nordic. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 25%, against 61%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ostersunds FK (green) and United Nordic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostersunds FK | DDLDW | 0.70 | 0.60 | 40% | 10% |
| United Nordic | WLDLD | 1.40 | 1.80 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Jun 2026 · United Nordic 1–1 Ostersunds FK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Ostersunds FK Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Superettan matches that day
- IK brage vs Osters IF · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Superettan
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Superettan
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53