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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Portugal
Os Marialvas vs Sertanense prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Os Marialvas host Sertanense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Os Marialvas Win — Os Marialvas to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Os Marialvas 0–0 Sertanense.
Going into the match, Os Marialvas had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 3. Sertanense had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with 3 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Os Marialvas's last 9 and 3 of Sertanense's last 5; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Os Marialvas averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Sertanense averaged 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 3.
The 1X2 prices imply about 56% for Os Marialvas, 26% for the draw and 18% for Sertanense once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Os Marialvas (green) and Sertanense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Os Marialvas | WWWWL | 1.44 | 0.33 | 11% | 44% |
| Sertanense | LDLLD | 0.60 | 1.60 | 60% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Os Marialvas Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Os Marialvas HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.