Home › League stats › Primera B › Orsomarso vs Quindio
Primera B · Colombia
Orsomarso vs Quindio prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orsomarso host Quindio in the Primera B (Colombia) on 6 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orsomarso 0–1 Quindio.
Going into the match, Orsomarso had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Quindio had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Orsomarso's last 10 and 5 of Quindio's last 10; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orsomarso averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Quindio averaged 0.78 scored and 0.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Orsomarso and 0.73 from Quindio. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 33%, against 40%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orsomarso (green) and Quindio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Orsomarso Win | 40% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| 1-1 | 14% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.