Home › League stats › NWSL Women › Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W
NWSL Women · USA
Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orlando Pride W host San Diego Wave W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orlando Pride W 1–2 San Diego Wave W.
Going into the match, Orlando Pride W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 20. San Diego Wave W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Orlando Pride W's last 10 and 4 of San Diego Wave W's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orlando Pride W averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home San Diego Wave W averaged 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Orlando Pride W and 1.58 from San Diego Wave W. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 49%, against 28%, 25% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orlando Pride W (green) and San Diego Wave W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pride W | WLDWL | 1.40 | 2.00 | 70% | 80% |
| San Diego Wave W | WWWLW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 May 2026 · San Diego Wave W 0–1 Orlando Pride W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| San Diego Wave W Win | 47% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.