Home › League stats › 8 Cup › Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns
8 Cup · South Africa
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orlando Pirates host Mamelodi Sundowns in the 8 Cup (South Africa) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Orlando Pirates to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orlando Pirates 0–2 Mamelodi Sundowns.
Going into the match, Orlando Pirates had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 2. Mamelodi Sundowns had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Orlando Pirates's last 10 and 6 of Mamelodi Sundowns's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orlando Pirates averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Mamelodi Sundowns averaged 1.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Orlando Pirates and 1.04 from Mamelodi Sundowns. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 34%, 30% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orlando Pirates (green) and Mamelodi Sundowns (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | WWWDW | 2.10 | 0.20 | 20% | 40% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | WDWWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.50 |
| Orlando Pirates Win | 33% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.