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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Orihuela vs Cieza prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orihuela host Cieza in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orihuela 0–4 Cieza.
Going into the match, Orihuela had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Cieza had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Orihuela's last 10 and 7 of Cieza's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orihuela averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Cieza averaged 1.71 scored and 0.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Orihuela and 1.86 from Cieza. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 55%, against 44%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orihuela (green) and Cieza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Orihuela 0–1 Cieza
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Orihuela Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Orihuela HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.