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Copa de la División Profesional · Bolivia

Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest prediction and preview

1 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Oriente Petrolero host The Strongest in the Copa de la División Profesional (Bolivia) on 1 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Oriente Petrolero 1–1 The Strongest.

Going into the match, Oriente Petrolero had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. The Strongest had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Oriente Petrolero's last 10 and 8 of The Strongest's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oriente Petrolero averaged 2.18 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home The Strongest averaged 1.64 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Oriente Petrolero and 1.24 from The Strongest. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 24%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Oriente Petrolero (green) and The Strongest (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%
Attack47% – 53%
Defence57% – 43%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals38% – 63%
Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Oriente PetroleroLWWLW1.901.3050%80%
The StrongestWDWWW2.601.3080%90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X74%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.28
BTTS 1st Half - No73%1.28
Under 3.5 Goals63%1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.53
BTTS Yes59%1.57
Over 2.5 Goals58%1.62
Oriente Petrolero Win52%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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