Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Oriente Petrolero host Nacional Potosí in the Copa de la División Profesional (Bolivia) on 22 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Oriente Petrolero 3–2 Nacional Potosí.

Going into the match, Oriente Petrolero had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Nacional Potosí had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Oriente Petrolero's last 10 and 4 of Nacional Potosí's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oriente Petrolero averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Nacional Potosí averaged 1.36 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.03 goals from Oriente Petrolero and 1.29 from Nacional Potosí. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 23%, against 49%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Oriente Petrolero (green) and Nacional Potosí (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form41% – 59%

Attack32% – 68%

Defence36% – 64%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals38% – 63%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Oriente Petrolero	DWWLD	1.30	1.00	50%	40%
Nacional Potosí	LDWWD	2.20	1.30	40%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

3 Aug 2026 · Oriente Petrolero 1–0 Nacional Potosí

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	78%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Double Chance 1X	74%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	59%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.