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Liga Pro · Ecuador
Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orense SC host Deportivo Cuenca in the Liga Pro (Ecuador) on 11 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Orense SC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orense SC 0–0 Deportivo Cuenca.
Going into the match, Orense SC had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Deportivo Cuenca had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Orense SC's last 10 and 5 of Deportivo Cuenca's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orense SC averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Deportivo Cuenca averaged 0.47 scored and 1.47 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Orense SC and 0.74 from Deportivo Cuenca. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 23%, against 44%, 29% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orense SC (green) and Deportivo Cuenca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | LLWLL | 1.20 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Deportivo Cuenca | DDLWL | 0.70 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Orense SC 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca
- 22 Apr 2026 · Deportivo Cuenca 1–3 Orense SC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.