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Second League - Group 4 · Russia
Orenburg II vs Ural II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orenburg II host Ural II in the Second League - Group 4 (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orenburg II 1–1 Ural II.
Going into the match, Orenburg II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Ural II had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Orenburg II's last 10 and 9 of Ural II's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orenburg II averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Ural II averaged 1.43 scored and 2.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Orenburg II and 1.28 from Ural II. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 21%, against 45%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orenburg II (green) and Ural II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg II | LLDDW | 1.70 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| Ural II | LLLDW | 1.30 | 2.00 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Sep 2026 · Ural II 1–1 Orenburg II
- 14 Jun 2026 · Ural II 5–0 Orenburg II
- 13 Apr 2026 · Orenburg II 2–2 Ural II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Orenburg II Win | 45% | 2.02 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.47 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.