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Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orebro SK host Ljungskile SK in the Superettan (Sweden) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orebro SK 1–1 Ljungskile SK.
Going into the match, Orebro SK had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Ljungskile SK had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Orebro SK's last 10 and 5 of Ljungskile SK's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orebro SK averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Ljungskile SK averaged 1.42 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Orebro SK and 1.49 from Ljungskile SK. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 37%, against 47%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orebro SK (green) and Ljungskile SK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orebro SK | DLDWL | 1.80 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
| Ljungskile SK | LLWDL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Ljungskile SK 3–2 Orebro SK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.