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Serie B · Brazil
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Operario-PR host Botafogo SP in the Serie B (Brazil) on 7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Operario-PR 1–2 Botafogo SP.
Going into the match, Operario-PR had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Botafogo SP had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Operario-PR's last 10 and 5 of Botafogo SP's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Operario-PR averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.24 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Botafogo SP averaged 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Operario-PR and 1.09 from Botafogo SP. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Operario-PR (green) and Botafogo SP (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR | LDWDW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Botafogo SP | LWDLL | 0.80 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Jun 2026 · Botafogo SP 2–1 Operario-PR
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Operario-PR Win | 50% | 1.90 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.