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USL League One · USA
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
One Knoxville host Spokane Velocity in the USL League One (USA) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: One Knoxville 0–2 Spokane Velocity.
Going into the match, One Knoxville had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Spokane Velocity had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of One Knoxville's last 10 and 8 of Spokane Velocity's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home One Knoxville averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Spokane Velocity averaged 1.08 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from One Knoxville and 1.22 from Spokane Velocity. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 49%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between One Knoxville (green) and Spokane Velocity (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Knoxville | WLDLW | 1.50 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Spokane Velocity | DWWDL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Spokane Velocity 0–4 One Knoxville
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| One Knoxville Win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| One Knoxville HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.