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USL League One · USA
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
One Knoxville host Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USL League One (USA) on 7 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: One Knoxville 3–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves.
Going into the match, One Knoxville had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Chattanooga Red Wolves had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of One Knoxville's last 10 and 5 of Chattanooga Red Wolves's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home One Knoxville averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Chattanooga Red Wolves averaged 1.31 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from One Knoxville and 1.06 from Chattanooga Red Wolves. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 23%, against 47%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between One Knoxville (green) and Chattanooga Red Wolves (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Knoxville | LDLWD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 80% | 50% |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | WLLDW | 1.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–0 One Knoxville
- 11 Jun 2026 · One Knoxville 1–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| One Knoxville Win | 47% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.