Home › League stats › Primera A › Once Caldas vs Llaneros
Primera A · Colombia
Once Caldas vs Llaneros prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Once Caldas host Llaneros in the Primera A (Colombia) on 10 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Once Caldas Win — Once Caldas to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Once Caldas 1–0 Llaneros.
Going into the match, Once Caldas had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Llaneros had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Once Caldas's last 10 and 7 of Llaneros's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Once Caldas averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Llaneros averaged 0.83 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Once Caldas and 0.73 from Llaneros. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 16%, against 60%, 25% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Once Caldas (green) and Llaneros (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | DLLWL | 0.90 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
| Llaneros | LLWLL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Once Caldas Win | 61% | 1.55 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.