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J2 League · Japan
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Omiya Ardija host Vanraure Hachinohe in the J2 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Omiya Ardija 3–1 Vanraure Hachinohe.
Going into the match, Omiya Ardija had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Vanraure Hachinohe had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 3 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Omiya Ardija's last 10 and 1 of Vanraure Hachinohe's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Omiya Ardija averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Vanraure Hachinohe averaged 1.10 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Omiya Ardija and 0.72 from Vanraure Hachinohe. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 13%, against 58%, 24% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Omiya Ardija (green) and Vanraure Hachinohe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omiya Ardija | LDWDD | 1.80 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
| Vanraure Hachinohe | LWLLD | 0.30 | 1.80 | 10% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Aug 2026 · Omiya Ardija 2–0 Vanraure Hachinohe
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Omiya Ardija Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.