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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Olympic vs Trelleborg prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olympic host Trelleborg in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olympic 0–2 Trelleborg.
Going into the match, Olympic had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 26. Trelleborg had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Olympic's last 10 and 9 of Trelleborg's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olympic averaged 2.36 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Trelleborg averaged 1.82 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from Olympic and 2.13 from Trelleborg. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 43%, against 30%, 24% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olympic (green) and Trelleborg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic | LDWLW | 1.60 | 2.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Trelleborg | WWWWL | 2.00 | 1.60 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Trelleborg 2–1 Olympic
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.