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1. Division · Cyprus
Olympiakos vs Aris prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olympiakos host Aris in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olympiakos 1–2 Aris.
Going into the match, Olympiakos had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Aris had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Olympiakos's last 9 and 5 of Aris's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olympiakos averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Aris averaged 0.78 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Olympiakos and 1.52 from Aris. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 36%, against 26%, 27% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olympiakos (green) and Aris (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | DDDDW | 1.56 | 1.33 | 67% | 56% |
| Aris | LWDWL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.