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Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus host Panathinaikos in the Super League 1 (Greece) on 11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Olympiakos Piraeus to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos.
Going into the match, Olympiakos Piraeus had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Panathinaikos had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Olympiakos Piraeus's last 10 and 5 of Panathinaikos's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olympiakos Piraeus averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Panathinaikos averaged 1.64 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Olympiakos Piraeus and 0.93 from Panathinaikos. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 32%, against 43%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olympiakos Piraeus (green) and Panathinaikos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | WWLWD | 1.40 | 0.60 | 40% | 30% |
| Panathinaikos | WWWWW | 1.90 | 0.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos
- 19 Apr 2026 · Panathinaikos 0–2 Olympiakos Piraeus
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.