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Super League · Uzbekistan
Olmaliq vs Navbahor prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olmaliq host Navbahor in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Navbahor to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olmaliq 2–2 Navbahor.
Going into the match, Olmaliq had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Navbahor had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Olmaliq's last 10 and 6 of Navbahor's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olmaliq averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Navbahor averaged 1.57 scored and 0.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Olmaliq and 1.61 from Navbahor. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 42%, against 25%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olmaliq (green) and Navbahor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Jul 2026 · Navbahor 2–3 Olmaliq
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Navbahor Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Navbahor HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.