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Friendlies Clubs · International
Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olimpija Ljubljana host NK Slaven Belupo in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo.
Going into the match, Olimpija Ljubljana had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. NK Slaven Belupo had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Olimpija Ljubljana's last 10 and 3 of NK Slaven Belupo's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olimpija Ljubljana averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home NK Slaven Belupo averaged 1.08 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.62 from NK Slaven Belupo. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 37%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olimpija Ljubljana (green) and NK Slaven Belupo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana | LWWDW | 1.00 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
| NK Slaven Belupo | DLWWL | 1.60 | 1.60 | 30% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.