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1. SNL · Slovenia
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olimpija Ljubljana host Mura in the 1. SNL (Slovenia) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Olimpija Ljubljana Win — Olimpija Ljubljana to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olimpija Ljubljana 3–3 Mura.
Going into the match, Olimpija Ljubljana had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Mura had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Olimpija Ljubljana's last 10 and 6 of Mura's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olimpija Ljubljana averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Mura averaged 1.27 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.87 from Mura. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%, against 56%, 25% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olimpija Ljubljana (green) and Mura (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana | WLWWD | 1.20 | 0.70 | 40% | 40% |
| Mura | DLDLL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Mura 1–0 Olimpija Ljubljana
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 57% | 1.63 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.