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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olimpia Zambrów host Lechia T. Mazowiecki in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olimpia Zambrów 3–0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
Going into the match, Olimpia Zambrów had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 27. Lechia T. Mazowiecki had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Olimpia Zambrów's last 10 and 9 of Lechia T. Mazowiecki's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olimpia Zambrów averaged 2.14 goals scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Lechia T. Mazowiecki averaged 1.50 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.62 goals from Olimpia Zambrów and 1.76 from Lechia T. Mazowiecki. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 25%, against 39%, 24% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olimpia Zambrów (green) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Zambrów | WLDDL | 1.80 | 2.70 | 80% | 90% |
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | LWLLL | 2.00 | 2.10 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| Double Chance 1X | 62% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Olimpia Zambrów Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.