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Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay
Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olimpia host Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 6 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olimpia 1–1 Nacional Asuncion.
Going into the match, Olimpia had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Nacional Asuncion had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Olimpia's last 10 and 3 of Nacional Asuncion's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olimpia averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.36 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Olimpia and 1.21 from Nacional Asuncion. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 41%, against 47%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olimpia (green) and Nacional Asuncion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | DWWWW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
| Nacional Asuncion | DDWWL | 1.80 | 0.50 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Jul 2026 · Nacional Asuncion 2–0 Olimpia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Olimpia Win | 47% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.