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Persha Liga · Ukraine
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Oleksandria host Lokomotiv Kyiv in the Persha Liga (Ukraine) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Oleksandria Win — Oleksandria to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Oleksandria 1–3 Lokomotiv Kyiv.
Going into the match, Oleksandria had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 3. Lokomotiv Kyiv had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Oleksandria's last 10 and 5 of Lokomotiv Kyiv's last 10; 1 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oleksandria averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Lokomotiv Kyiv averaged 1.56 scored and 0.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Oleksandria and 0.96 from Lokomotiv Kyiv. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 60%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Oleksandria (green) and Lokomotiv Kyiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria | WDLWD | 1.30 | 0.30 | 20% | 10% |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | DWWWL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Oleksandria Win | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 2.00 |
| Oleksandria HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.