Home › League stats › EFL Trophy › Oldham vs Leeds United U21
EFL Trophy · England
Oldham vs Leeds United U21 prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Oldham host Leeds United U21 in the EFL Trophy (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Oldham 4–2 Leeds United U21.
Going into the match, Oldham had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Leeds United U21 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Oldham's last 10 and 7 of Leeds United U21's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oldham averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Leeds United U21 averaged 1.75 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.71 goals from Oldham and 1.63 from Leeds United U21. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 21%, against 64%, 21% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Oldham (green) and Leeds United U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | DLWLL | 1.00 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Leeds United U21 | WLWWD | 2.30 | 2.20 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Oldham Win | 65% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.