Home › League stats › League Two › Oldham vs Accrington ST
League Two · England
Oldham vs Accrington ST prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Oldham host Accrington ST in the League Two (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Oldham 0–0 Accrington ST.
Going into the match, Oldham had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Accrington ST had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Oldham's last 10 and 7 of Accrington ST's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oldham averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Accrington ST averaged 1.22 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Oldham and 1.07 from Accrington ST. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Oldham (green) and Accrington ST (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | LWLLL | 1.00 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Accrington ST | DWDDD | 1.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Oldham 3–0 Accrington ST
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Oldham Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.