Home › League stats › J2 League › Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
J2 League · Japan
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Oita Trinita host Montedio Yamagata in the J2 League (Japan) on 3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Oita Trinita 2–1 Montedio Yamagata.
Going into the match, Oita Trinita had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Montedio Yamagata had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Oita Trinita's last 10 and 3 of Montedio Yamagata's last 10; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oita Trinita averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Montedio Yamagata averaged 0.89 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Oita Trinita and 0.73 from Montedio Yamagata. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 19%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Oita Trinita (green) and Montedio Yamagata (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oita Trinita | DDDDL | 0.70 | 0.80 | 40% | 10% |
| Montedio Yamagata | LWLLW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Jun 2026 · Oita Trinita 1–0 Montedio Yamagata
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.