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Prva Liga · Serbia
OFK Bor 1919 vs TSC Backa Topola prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
OFK Bor 1919 host TSC Backa Topola in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is TSC Backa Topola Win — TSC Backa Topola to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: OFK Bor 1919 1–4 TSC Backa Topola.
Going into the match, OFK Bor 1919 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 17. TSC Backa Topola had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of OFK Bor 1919's last 10 and 8 of TSC Backa Topola's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home OFK Bor 1919 averaged 3.22 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home TSC Backa Topola averaged 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from OFK Bor 1919 and 2.33 from TSC Backa Topola. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 60%, against 22%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between OFK Bor 1919 (green) and TSC Backa Topola (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFK Bor 1919 | LLLLL | 0.70 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
| TSC Backa Topola | WDDDW | 2.20 | 1.20 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| TSC Backa Topola Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.95 |
| TSC Backa Topola HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| 0-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.