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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Odra Bytom Odrzański host Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.59, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Odra Bytom Odrzański 0–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
Going into the match, Odra Bytom Odrzański had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Zaglebie Sosnowiec had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Odra Bytom Odrzański's last 10 and 5 of Zaglebie Sosnowiec's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Odra Bytom Odrzański averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 0.92 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Odra Bytom Odrzański and 0.52 from Zaglebie Sosnowiec. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 19%, against 37%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 25%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Odra Bytom Odrzański (green) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | WWDWD | 1.20 | 0.40 | 20% | 20% |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | LWWLL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.