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Primera División · Chile

O'Higgins vs Nublense prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 73%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

O'Higgins host Nublense in the Primera División (Chile) on 31 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, O'Higgins had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Nublense had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of O'Higgins's last 10 and 6 of Nublense's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home O'Higgins averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Nublense averaged 0.86 scored and 1.79 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from O'Higgins and 1.00 from Nublense. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 18%, against 44%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between O'Higgins (green) and Nublense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%
Attack56% – 44%
Defence64% – 36%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals71% – 29%
Overall strength62% – 37%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
O'HigginsDLWWW1.601.1060%50%
NublenseWLWLL1.002.0060%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X74%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals73%1.30
Over 1.5 Goals71%1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals65%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals53%1.80
BTTS Yes52%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals47%2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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