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Copa Chile · Chile
O'Higgins vs Concepción prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
O'Higgins host Concepción in the Copa Chile (Chile) on 4 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — O'Higgins to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: O'Higgins 2–0 Concepción.
Going into the match, O'Higgins had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Concepción had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of O'Higgins's last 10 and 2 of Concepción's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home O'Higgins averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Concepción averaged 1.27 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from O'Higgins and 0.99 from Concepción. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 32%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between O'Higgins (green) and Concepción (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | WWWLW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 70% | 70% |
| Concepción | LWWDL | 1.50 | 0.40 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Oct 2026 · Concepción 0–1 O'Higgins
- 27 Jul 2026 · Concepción 2–0 O'Higgins
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.