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USL League One · USA
NY Cosmos vs One Knoxville prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
NY Cosmos host One Knoxville in the USL League One (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.49, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: NY Cosmos 0–3 One Knoxville.
Going into the match, NY Cosmos had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. One Knoxville had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of NY Cosmos's last 10 and 6 of One Knoxville's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NY Cosmos averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home One Knoxville averaged 1.59 scored and 1.47 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from NY Cosmos and 1.78 from One Knoxville. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 49%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between NY Cosmos (green) and One Knoxville (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Cosmos | LLWLL | 1.70 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
| One Knoxville | LWLDL | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · One Knoxville 3–1 NY Cosmos
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| One Knoxville Win | 42% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.15 |
| One Knoxville HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.