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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany

Nürnberg W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Nürnberg W host 1899 Hoffenheim W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Nürnberg W 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim W.

Going into the match, Nürnberg W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 27. 1899 Hoffenheim W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Nürnberg W's last 10 and 7 of 1899 Hoffenheim W's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nürnberg W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home 1899 Hoffenheim W averaged 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Nürnberg W and 1.73 from 1899 Hoffenheim W. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 35%, against 27%, 23% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Nürnberg W (green) and 1899 Hoffenheim W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack57% – 43%
Defence34% – 66%
Head-to-head9% – 91%
Goals10% – 90%
Overall strength33% – 66%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Nürnberg WWLLDD2.302.7070%80%
1899 Hoffenheim WWWLLL1.901.4070%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.22
Double Chance X273%1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No71%1.33
BTTS Yes66%1.40
Over 2.5 Goals66%1.40
Over 9.5 Corners56%1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals54%1.73
Under 3.5 Goals51%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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