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Second League A - Division A Gold · Russia
Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Bryansk prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Novosibirsk host Dinamo Bryansk in the Second League A - Division A Gold (Russia) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Novosibirsk 2–0 Dinamo Bryansk.
Going into the match, Novosibirsk had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Dinamo Bryansk had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Novosibirsk's last 10 and 5 of Dinamo Bryansk's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Novosibirsk averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dinamo Bryansk averaged 1.17 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Novosibirsk and 1.01 from Dinamo Bryansk. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Novosibirsk (green) and Dinamo Bryansk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novosibirsk | WWDLL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| Dinamo Bryansk | DWLDD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Dinamo Bryansk 1–0 Novosibirsk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.