Home › League stats › Serie B › Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta
Serie B · Brazil
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Novorizontino host Ponte Preta in the Serie B (Brazil) on 12 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Novorizontino 5–1 Ponte Preta.
Going into the match, Novorizontino had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 7. Ponte Preta had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 1 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Novorizontino's last 10 and 0 of Ponte Preta's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Novorizontino averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Ponte Preta averaged 0.43 scored and 2.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.68 goals from Novorizontino and 0.41 from Ponte Preta. From that it rates a home win at 93%, a draw at 6% and an away win at 1%, against 87%, 10% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Novorizontino (green) and Ponte Preta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | WWDLD | 2.20 | 0.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Ponte Preta | LLLWL | 0.10 | 2.60 | 0% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Jun 2026 · Ponte Preta 0–2 Novorizontino
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino HT & FT | 70% | 1.36 |
| Novorizontino 1st Half Win | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 3-0 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.