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Serie B · Brazil
Novorizontino vs Goias prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Novorizontino host Goias in the Serie B (Brazil) on 2 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Novorizontino 3–0 Goias.
Going into the match, Novorizontino had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Goias had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Novorizontino's last 10 and 4 of Goias's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Novorizontino averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Goias averaged 0.93 scored and 1.27 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Novorizontino and 0.70 from Goias. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 13%, against 57%, 26% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Novorizontino (green) and Goias (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | DLDWW | 1.70 | 0.80 | 60% | 60% |
| Goias | LWWLL | 0.90 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jun 2026 · Goias 0–4 Novorizontino
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Novorizontino Win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.