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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Novara vs Cittadella prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Novara host Cittadella in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Cittadella to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Novara 0–2 Cittadella.
Going into the match, Novara had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Cittadella had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Novara's last 10 and 5 of Cittadella's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Novara averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Cittadella averaged 1.14 scored and 0.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.61 goals from Novara and 1.37 from Cittadella. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 54%, against 32%, 29% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Novara (green) and Cittadella (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | WLDDL | 0.90 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
| Cittadella | LWWWW | 2.00 | 0.70 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Novara 0–1 Cittadella
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.