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EFL Trophy · England
Notts County vs Nottingham Forest U21 prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Notts County host Nottingham Forest U21 in the EFL Trophy (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Notts County 5–1 Nottingham Forest U21.
Going into the match, Notts County had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Nottingham Forest U21 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Notts County's last 10 and 8 of Nottingham Forest U21's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Notts County averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Nottingham Forest U21 averaged 1.86 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.32 goals from Notts County and 1.04 from Nottingham Forest U21. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 15%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Notts County (green) and Nottingham Forest U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | LWLLD | 1.10 | 1.30 | 80% | 40% |
| Nottingham Forest U21 | WLDWW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Notts County Win | 49% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.