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2. Division - Group 1 · Norway
Notodden vs Pors Grenland prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Notodden host Pors Grenland in the 2. Division - Group 1 (Norway) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Notodden 3–4 Pors Grenland.
Going into the match, Notodden had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Pors Grenland had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Notodden's last 10 and 5 of Pors Grenland's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Notodden averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Pors Grenland averaged 1.25 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Notodden and 1.14 from Pors Grenland. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 29%, against 51%, 22% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Notodden (green) and Pors Grenland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notodden | LLLWL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
| Pors Grenland | LWLWD | 1.50 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Pors Grenland 1–2 Notodden
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Notodden Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Double Chance X2 | 48% | 1.88 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Division - Group 1 matches that day
- Arendal vs Eik-Tønsberg · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 2. Division - Group 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - Kvik Halden vs Vidar · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 2. Division - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 0–2 - Sandviken vs Mjondalen · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 2. Division - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–3