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Serie D - Girone F · Italy
Notaresco vs Recanatese prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Notaresco host Recanatese in the Serie D - Girone F (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Notaresco to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Notaresco 2–1 Recanatese.
Going into the match, Notaresco had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Recanatese had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Notaresco's last 10 and 6 of Recanatese's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Notaresco averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Recanatese averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from Notaresco and 1.36 from Recanatese. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 23%. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Notaresco (green) and Recanatese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notaresco | WDLWD | 1.00 | 1.30 | 70% | 40% |
| Recanatese | LLDWD | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.