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Second League - Group 4 · Russia
Nosta vs Rubin Kazan 2 prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nosta host Rubin Kazan 2 in the Second League - Group 4 (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nosta 2–1 Rubin Kazan 2.
Going into the match, Nosta had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Rubin Kazan 2 had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Nosta's last 10 and 7 of Rubin Kazan 2's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nosta averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Rubin Kazan 2 averaged 1.08 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Nosta and 1.26 from Rubin Kazan 2. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 32%, against 38%, 27% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nosta (green) and Rubin Kazan 2 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nosta | WWWLL | 1.70 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Rubin Kazan 2 | WWDWL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Sep 2026 · Rubin Kazan 2 2–0 Nosta
- 1 Jul 2026 · Rubin Kazan 2 3–0 Nosta
- 29 Apr 2026 · Nosta 2–2 Rubin Kazan 2
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.27 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.27 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Nosta Win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.