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Northern Ireland vs Georgia prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Northern Ireland host Georgia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Northern Ireland 0–0 Georgia.
Going into the match, Northern Ireland had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Georgia had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 3 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Northern Ireland's last 5 and 1 of Georgia's last 5; 2 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Northern Ireland averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Georgia averaged 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 40% for Northern Ireland, 31% for the draw and 29% for Georgia once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Northern Ireland (green) and Georgia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland | WDWLW | 1.20 | 0.60 | 20% | 40% |
| Georgia | LDLWD | 0.60 | 0.60 | 20% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Sep 2026 · Georgia 0–1 Northern Ireland
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Northern Ireland Win | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.