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Indian Super League · India
NorthEast United vs ATK Mohun Bagan prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
NorthEast United host ATK Mohun Bagan in the Indian Super League (India) on 12 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is ATK Mohun Bagan Win — ATK Mohun Bagan to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: NorthEast United 1–0 ATK Mohun Bagan.
Going into the match, NorthEast United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. ATK Mohun Bagan had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of NorthEast United's last 10 and 5 of ATK Mohun Bagan's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NorthEast United averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home ATK Mohun Bagan averaged 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from NorthEast United and 1.33 from ATK Mohun Bagan. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 20%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between NorthEast United (green) and ATK Mohun Bagan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NorthEast United | LDWWW | 1.60 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| ATK Mohun Bagan | WDDWW | 1.60 | 0.60 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Sep 2026 · ATK Mohun Bagan 1–1 NorthEast United
- 19 Apr 2026 · NorthEast United 0–1 ATK Mohun Bagan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| ATK Mohun Bagan Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.