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League Cup · Hong Kong
North District vs Southern District prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
North District host Southern District in the League Cup (Hong Kong) on 1 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: North District 2–1 Southern District.
Going into the match, North District had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 17. Southern District had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of North District's last 10 and 9 of Southern District's last 9; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home North District averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Southern District averaged 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.24 goals from North District and 1.04 from Southern District. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 16%, against 47%, 23% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between North District (green) and Southern District (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North District | WWDWD | 2.40 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| Southern District | WLWWD | 2.11 | 1.78 | 100% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.74 |
| North District Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.