Home › League stats › Thai League 2 › Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United
Thai League 2 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nong Bua Pitchaya host Chiangmai United in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 14 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nong Bua Pitchaya 3–1 Chiangmai United.
Going into the match, Nong Bua Pitchaya had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Chiangmai United had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 10 and 3 of Chiangmai United's last 7; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nong Bua Pitchaya averaged 2.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Chiangmai United averaged 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.03 goals from Nong Bua Pitchaya and 1.21 from Chiangmai United. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 21%, against 53%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nong Bua Pitchaya (green) and Chiangmai United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | DWDLW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 80% | 80% |
| Chiangmai United | WLWWL | 2.00 | 1.00 | 43% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Chiangmai United 3–0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Nong Bua Pitchaya Win | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Nong Bua Pitchaya HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.