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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nõmme United host Kalju Nomme in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 17 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nõmme United 3–0 Kalju Nomme.
Going into the match, Nõmme United had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 22. Kalju Nomme had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Nõmme United's last 10 and 6 of Kalju Nomme's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nõmme United averaged 2.33 goals scored and 2.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Kalju Nomme averaged 2.12 scored and 1.24 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Nõmme United and 1.85 from Kalju Nomme. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 46%, against 22%, 22% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nõmme United (green) and Kalju Nomme (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United | LLLLW | 1.20 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Kalju Nomme | DLWWL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Sep 2026 · Kalju Nomme 1–2 Nõmme United
- 3 Jul 2026 · Nõmme United 1–3 Kalju Nomme
- 22 Apr 2026 · Kalju Nomme 7–1 Nõmme United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Kalju Nomme Win | 55% | 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.