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Esiliiga A · Estonia
Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nõmme United II host FCI Levadia II in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Nõmme United II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nõmme United II 0–1 FCI Levadia II.
Going into the match, Nõmme United II had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. FCI Levadia II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Nõmme United II's last 10 and 7 of FCI Levadia II's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nõmme United II averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FCI Levadia II averaged 2.08 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Nõmme United II and 2.38 from FCI Levadia II. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 57%, against 43%, 21% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nõmme United II (green) and FCI Levadia II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United II | WWWLL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| FCI Levadia II | WDWLW | 2.30 | 2.00 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Nõmme United II 1–2 FCI Levadia II
- 25 May 2026 · FCI Levadia II 4–2 Nõmme United II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 63% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Nõmme United II Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Nõmme United II HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.